Rank 1
Bullish engulfing
A green candle engulfs the red body before it, after a pullback.
- BTC +2.8% 61 signals · 22 hit TP
- ETH +34.2% 54 signals · 24 hit TP
Signal study
20 popular crypto signals, backtested over a year
Every rule on BTC and ETH with 4-hour candles, every signal as a trade with TP +5% and SL −2.5%, after fees. Computed with the same engine that fires your alerts at Bellchain.
4 of 20 rules end up in profit after fees.
Period 2 November 2025 to 2 November 2026
- rules
- 20
- signals
- 1,780
- in profit
- 4/20
- days
- 365
What the numbers show
On their own, most signals lose
16 of 20 rules would have lost money after fees. A single indicator fires even when the trend is against it. Link indicators wisely and those signals get filtered out, and that is exactly what Bellchain helps you do.
On its own
- RSI below 30
- Alert
−84.8% 62 signals, 11 hit TP
Linked
- RSI below 30
- above EMA 200
- AND
- Alert
Only fires in an uptrend
Ranking
Sum after fees per rule
Every signal with the same stake, the results of both coins added up. With €100 per signal, −147.5% means a loss of €147.50.
- 1 Bullish engulfing +36.9%
- 2 Stochastic turns below 20 +21.4%
- 3 Back above the EMA 200 +8.7%
- 4 ADX above 25 +0.9%
- 5 Death cross −2.4%
- 6 Golden cross −9.9%
- 7 RSI above 70 −12.6%
- 8 MACD cross −26.4%
- 9 Volume spike −27.0%
- 10 Supertrend turns up −33.9%
- 11 New 30-day high −34.2%
- 12 MACD above zero −35.7%
- 13 Below the lower Bollinger band −44.6%
- 14 Parabolic SAR turns up −48.8%
- 15 Above the Ichimoku cloud −53.1%
- 16 EMA 9 crosses EMA 21 −65.1%
- 17 Down 5% in 24 hours −68.6%
- 18 Bollinger breakout −76.1%
- 19 RSI below 30 −84.8%
- 20 Donchian breakout −147.5%
All rules
Every rule as a card
Rank 2
Stochastic turns below 20
The stochastic %K crosses above %D while below 20.
- BTC +11.0% 64 signals · 24 hit TP
- ETH +10.5% 60 signals · 23 hit TP
Rank 3
Back above the EMA 200
The price closes back above the EMA 200.
- BTC −17.4% 37 signals · 11 hit TP
- ETH +26.1% 32 signals · 15 hit TP
Rank 4
ADX above 25
The ADX rises above 25 with +DI above −DI: a strong uptrend begins.
- BTC +7.2% 14 signals · 6 hit TP
- ETH −6.3% 19 signals · 6 hit TP
Rank 5
Death cross
The SMA 50 crosses below the SMA 200.
- BTC −8.7% 6 signals · 1 hit TP
- ETH +6.3% 6 signals · 3 hit TP
Rank 6
Golden cross
The SMA 50 crosses above the SMA 200.
- BTC −8.7% 6 signals · 1 hit TP
- ETH −1.2% 6 signals · 2 hit TP
Rank 7
RSI above 70
The RSI 14 rises above 70: overbought, going short for the pullback.
- BTC −16.2% 31 signals · 9 hit TP
- ETH +3.6% 32 signals · 12 hit TP
Rank 8
MACD cross
The MACD crosses above its signal line.
- BTC −15.1% 79 signals · 26 hit TP
- ETH −11.3% 86 signals · 29 hit TP
Rank 9
Volume spike
Three times the average volume of the last 20 candles, with the price rising.
- BTC −8.4% 17 signals · 5 hit TP
- ETH −18.6% 18 signals · 4 hit TP
Rank 10
Supertrend turns up
The Supertrend (10, 3) flips to an uptrend.
- BTC −18.3% 29 signals · 8 hit TP
- ETH −15.6% 28 signals · 8 hit TP
Rank 11
New 30-day high
The price closes at its highest level of the last 30 days.
- BTC −24.6% 23 signals · 5 hit TP
- ETH −9.6% 23 signals · 7 hit TP
Rank 12
MACD above zero
The MACD rises above the zero line.
- BTC −12.9% 52 signals · 17 hit TP
- ETH −22.8% 39 signals · 11 hit TP
Rank 13
Below the lower Bollinger band
The price closes below the lower Bollinger band: going long for the return into the band.
- BTC −25.4% 73 signals · 22 hit TP
- ETH −19.2% 71 signals · 23 hit TP
Rank 14
Parabolic SAR turns up
The Parabolic SAR flips below the price.
- BTC −51.3% 94 signals · 27 hit TP
- ETH +2.5% 89 signals · 32 hit TP
Rank 15
Above the Ichimoku cloud
The price closes above the Ichimoku cloud.
- BTC +7.2% 64 signals · 24 hit TP
- ETH −60.2% 64 signals · 15 hit TP
Rank 16
EMA 9 crosses EMA 21
The fast EMA 9 crosses above the EMA 21.
- BTC −21.0% 55 signals · 17 hit TP
- ETH −44.1% 58 signals · 15 hit TP
Rank 17
Down 5% in 24 hours
The price falls more than 5% in 24 hours: going long after the drop.
- BTC −12.4% 17 signals · 4 hit TP
- ETH −56.2% 42 signals · 7 hit TP
Rank 18
Bollinger breakout
The price closes above the upper Bollinger band (20, 2).
- BTC −30.9% 67 signals · 20 hit TP
- ETH −45.3% 64 signals · 17 hit TP
Rank 19
RSI below 30
The RSI 14 drops below 30: oversold, going long for the bounce.
- BTC −48.3% 29 signals · 4 hit TP
- ETH −36.6% 33 signals · 7 hit TP
Rank 20
Donchian breakout
The price closes above the high of the last 20 candles, like the Turtle traders.
- BTC −81.8% 72 signals · 15 hit TP
- ETH −65.6% 66 signals · 15 hit TP
Method
How we computed it
- Prices: 4-hour candles of BTC/USDT and ETH/USDT from a large exchange, 2 November 2025 to 2 November 2026, plus enough candles before so that every indicator has settled.
- Rules: one chain per rule with the default values of the indicators, nothing tuned. A signal comes when the condition switches from false to true, at most every 4 hours, as in live operation.
- Trades: entry at the close of the signal candle, exit at TP +5% or SL −2.5%, whichever comes first; if one candle reaches both, the SL counts. Whatever is still open at the end counts at its last price.
- Fees: 0.1% per side. The sum adds up every signal with the same stake, without compounding.
Check your own rule
Build your rule from blocks and see in the replay right away how it would have turned out with TP and SL, after fees and without an account.